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運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

icon for 世界盃：進入決賽的國家
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

$13,924,893 交易量

2026-07-20
Polymarket

$13,924,893 交易量

Polymarket

南韓

$12,029 交易量

否

捷克

$7,442 交易量

否

瑞士

$355,914 交易量

否

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$8,112 交易量

否

摩洛哥

$479,775 交易量

否

海地

$1,151 交易量

否

澳洲

$15,456 交易量

否

土耳其

$55,415 交易量

否

厄瓜多

$32,755 交易量

否

庫拉索

$2,380 交易量

否

墨西哥

$1,195,159 交易量

否

南非

$11,375 交易量

否

加拿大

$60,776 交易量

否

卡塔爾

$3,271 交易量

否

巴西

$135,175 交易量

否

蘇格蘭

$348,973 交易量

否

美國

$503,778 交易量

否

巴拉圭

$106,092 交易量

否

德國

$101,925 交易量

否

象牙海岸

$18,251 交易量

否

荷蘭

$82,668 交易量

否

日本

$188,881 交易量

否

瑞典

$97,250 交易量

否

伊朗

$391,303 交易量

否

紐西蘭

$351,704 交易量

否

烏拉圭

$23,036 交易量

否

佛得角

$196,173 交易量

否

塞內加爾

$25,792 交易量

否

伊拉克

$550,874 交易量

否

奧地利

$14,017 交易量

否

約旦

$2,157 交易量

否

哥倫比亞

$244,789 交易量

否

剛果民主共和國

$12,655 交易量

否

克羅地亞

$42,302 交易量

否

加納

$11,357 交易量

否

突尼斯

$1,587 交易量

否

比利時

$240,560 交易量

否

埃及

$237,930 交易量

否

西班牙

$473,301 交易量

是

沙烏地阿拉伯

$5,275 交易量

否

法國

$1,713,891 交易量

否

挪威

$689,415 交易量

否

阿根廷

$1,602,154 交易量

是

阿爾及利亞

$29,200 交易量

否

葡萄牙

$508,938 交易量

否

烏茲別克斯坦

$1,630,245 交易量

否

英格蘭

$1,101,009 交易量

否

巴拿馬

$1,226 交易量

否

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,924,893
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,924,893
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 100%, followed by "阿根廷" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" has generated $13.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：進入決賽的國家," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is "西班牙" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿根廷" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.