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預測與賠率

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Bitcoin above ___ on May 8?

Bitcoin above ___ on May 8?

100%

68,000

$2M 交易量

$1M today

$501K Liq.

Ends 大約 15 小時內

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 7?

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 7?

7%

↓ 79,000

$440K 交易量

$440K today

$304K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時內

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 7?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 7?

100%

29°C

$442K 交易量

$322K today

$154K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時前

Highest temperature in London on May 7?

Highest temperature in London on May 7?

14°C

$270K 交易量

$199K today

Ends 大約 14 小時前

Ethereum above ___ on May 8?

Ethereum above ___ on May 8?

100%

1,800

$284K 交易量

$211K today

$329K Liq.

Ends 大約 15 小時內

Bitcoin above ___ on May 9?

Bitcoin above ___ on May 9?

100%

68,000

$334K 交易量

$188K today

$199K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

70%

May 13

$1M 交易量

$169K today

$398K Liq.

75

Ends 23 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M 交易量

$152K today

$190K Liq.

Ends 8 天前

Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?

Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?

100%

64-65°F

$169K 交易量

$134K today

$144K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時前

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

81%

90M+

$518K 交易量

$124K today

$176K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

95%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M 交易量

$112K today

$80.4K Liq.

33

Ends 2 天內

Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?

Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?

99%

44°F or higher

$107K 交易量

$107K today

$85.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Bitcoin price on May 8?

Bitcoin price on May 8?

55%

78,000-80,000

$142K 交易量

$102K today

$181K Liq.

Ends 大約 15 小時內

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

May 28

$253K 交易量

$92.8K today

$121K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Highest temperature in Lagos on May 7?

Highest temperature in Lagos on May 7?

33°C

$106K 交易量

$90.0K today

Ends 大約 14 小時前

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 7?

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 7?

98%

62-63°F

$125K 交易量

$105K today

$19.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時前

Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 7?

Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 7?

100%

72-73°F

$104K 交易量

$84.7K today

$262K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時前

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?

99%

56°F or higher

$84.6K 交易量

$84.6K today

$122K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 8?

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 8?

40%

19°C

$102K 交易量

$76.9K today

$77.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 11 小時內

Highest temperature in Austin on May 9?

Highest temperature in Austin on May 9?

100%

74°F or higher

$74.0K 交易量

$74.0K today

$103K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 開.

Polymarket currently hosts 6410 active markets for 開 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bitcoin above ___ on May 8?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 20+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 開 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.