**Traders view the 2026 ESPY Best Record-Breaking Performance category as a virtual toss-up, with nominees clustered near 50% implied probability.** Myles Garrett’s NFL single-season sack record (23 in 2025), Megan Grant’s NCAA softball home-run mark, Johannes Høsflot Klæbo’s six Winter Olympic golds (including multiple 2026 medals), and Sabastian Sawe’s first official sub-two-hour marathon (1:59:30 at London 2026) each represent landmark achievements across major sports. The even pricing reflects subjective voter weighting of context—professional league dominance versus Olympic or world-record prestige—plus the brief window before the July 15 ceremony. No late surge from guild-style precursors or public campaigns has emerged to separate the field, leaving the outcome dependent on how ESPY voters balance historical significance against recency and sport visibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Sabastian Sawe 91%
Megan Grant 89%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo 3.0%
Myles Garrett 0
$464 交易量
$464 交易量
Megan Grant
No
Myles Garrett
Yes
Sabastian Sawe
No
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
No
Sabastian Sawe 91%
Megan Grant 89%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo 3.0%
Myles Garrett 0
$464 交易量
$464 交易量
Megan Grant
No
Myles Garrett
Yes
Sabastian Sawe
No
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
No
This market will resolve according to the listed nominee who wins the award for Best Record-breaking Performance at the 2026 ESPY Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the 2026 ESPY Awards and the official ESPN website (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the listed nominee who wins the award for Best Record-breaking Performance at the 2026 ESPY Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the 2026 ESPY Awards and the official ESPN website (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
**Traders view the 2026 ESPY Best Record-Breaking Performance category as a virtual toss-up, with nominees clustered near 50% implied probability.** Myles Garrett’s NFL single-season sack record (23 in 2025), Megan Grant’s NCAA softball home-run mark, Johannes Høsflot Klæbo’s six Winter Olympic golds (including multiple 2026 medals), and Sabastian Sawe’s first official sub-two-hour marathon (1:59:30 at London 2026) each represent landmark achievements across major sports. The even pricing reflects subjective voter weighting of context—professional league dominance versus Olympic or world-record prestige—plus the brief window before the July 15 ceremony. No late surge from guild-style precursors or public campaigns has emerged to separate the field, leaving the outcome dependent on how ESPY voters balance historical significance against recency and sport visibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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