With three rounds remaining in the Euroleague's 38-game regular season, trader consensus prices AS Monaco, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv, and Valencia Basket atop the 2026 winner market at 48% implied probabilities, reflecting a hyper-competitive playoff picture where regular-season leaders like Olympiacos (23-12, 7-3 L10) hold slim seeding edges but face best-of-five quarterfinal volatility. Recent Round 35 results amplified uncertainty: Hapoel edged Panathinaikos 92-88 to solidify top-five positioning, Valencia dominated Virtus on the road 94-81, while AS Monaco's 91-101 loss to Dubai underscores play-in risks for 7th-10th seeds yet highlights their offensive firepower (90.3 PPG). Strong home-court records across contenders—Real Madrid 17-1, Fenerbahce 14-4—add matchup intrigue, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 46-48% amid no dominant force.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于AS Monaco 48%
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv 48%
Valencia Basket 48%
Olympiacos 48%
AS Monaco
48%
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv
48%
Valencia Basket
48%
Olympiacos
48%
Panathinaikos
48%
Red Star Belgrade
47%
Barcelona
46%
Dubai Basketball
46%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
46%
Olimpia Milano
46%
Zalgiris Kaunas
46%
Real Madrid
42%
Fenerbahçe Beko
40%
AS Monaco 48%
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv 48%
Valencia Basket 48%
Olympiacos 48%
AS Monaco
48%
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv
48%
Valencia Basket
48%
Olympiacos
48%
Panathinaikos
48%
Red Star Belgrade
47%
Barcelona
46%
Dubai Basketball
46%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
46%
Olimpia Milano
46%
Zalgiris Kaunas
46%
Real Madrid
42%
Fenerbahçe Beko
40%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2025-2026 Euroleague per the rules of the Euroleague (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Euroleague (https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2025-2026 Euroleague per the rules of the Euroleague (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Euroleague (https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With three rounds remaining in the Euroleague's 38-game regular season, trader consensus prices AS Monaco, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv, and Valencia Basket atop the 2026 winner market at 48% implied probabilities, reflecting a hyper-competitive playoff picture where regular-season leaders like Olympiacos (23-12, 7-3 L10) hold slim seeding edges but face best-of-five quarterfinal volatility. Recent Round 35 results amplified uncertainty: Hapoel edged Panathinaikos 92-88 to solidify top-five positioning, Valencia dominated Virtus on the road 94-81, while AS Monaco's 91-101 loss to Dubai underscores play-in risks for 7th-10th seeds yet highlights their offensive firepower (90.3 PPG). Strong home-court records across contenders—Real Madrid 17-1, Fenerbahce 14-4—add matchup intrigue, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 46-48% amid no dominant force.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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