Trader consensus pins Arizona as the slim 2026 NCAA Tournament favorite at 27.5% implied probability, buoyed by their projected No. 1 recruiting class including five-star Joson Sanon and key portal additions like Carter Bryant, offsetting graduating stars. Michigan trails closely at 20.5% after coach Dusty May's aggressive transfer haul—headlined by Danny Wolf and Tre White—transforming a rebuilding roster into a Big Ten contender. Duke (15.5%) and Illinois (13.1%) keep the top bunched via elite freshmen like Cooper Flagg for the Blue Devils and Illinois' retention of Kasparas Jakucionis plus transfers like Will Riley, highlighting transfer portal parity where no program dominates amid ongoing NIL-fueled roster flux and unproven chemistry for next season's March Madness grind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 25.9%
密歇根 25%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 12.0%
$21,884,820 交易量
$21,884,820 交易量
亚利桑那
26%
密歇根
25%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
6%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
2%
爱荷华
2%
阿拉巴马
<1%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
圣约翰大学
<1%
亚利桑那 25.9%
密歇根 25%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 12.0%
$21,884,820 交易量
$21,884,820 交易量
亚利桑那
26%
密歇根
25%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
6%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
2%
爱荷华
2%
阿拉巴马
<1%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
圣约翰大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Trader consensus pins Arizona as the slim 2026 NCAA Tournament favorite at 27.5% implied probability, buoyed by their projected No. 1 recruiting class including five-star Joson Sanon and key portal additions like Carter Bryant, offsetting graduating stars. Michigan trails closely at 20.5% after coach Dusty May's aggressive transfer haul—headlined by Danny Wolf and Tre White—transforming a rebuilding roster into a Big Ten contender. Duke (15.5%) and Illinois (13.1%) keep the top bunched via elite freshmen like Cooper Flagg for the Blue Devils and Illinois' retention of Kasparas Jakucionis plus transfers like Will Riley, highlighting transfer portal parity where no program dominates amid ongoing NIL-fueled roster flux and unproven chemistry for next season's March Madness grind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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