Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 27.4% implied probability, with Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (22.5%) close behind, reflecting the razor-thin margins among these top 1-seeds still alive in the Sweet 16 after dominant first- and second-round wins. All three entered March Madness as AP Top 3 teams with near-perfect records—Duke and Arizona at 32-2, Michigan 31-3—and have advanced via convincing victories, showcasing elite efficiency on both ends per KenPom ratings. Illinois (11.6%) lurks as a Big Ten contender with strong recent form, while UConn and Purdue round out viable threats, underscoring the bracket's parity and potential for upsets en route to the Final Four.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 27.4%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.8%
$21,986,833 交易量
$21,986,833 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
普渡大学
5%
康涅狄格
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
亚利桑那 27.4%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.8%
$21,986,833 交易量
$21,986,833 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
普渡大学
5%
康涅狄格
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 27.4% implied probability, with Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (22.5%) close behind, reflecting the razor-thin margins among these top 1-seeds still alive in the Sweet 16 after dominant first- and second-round wins. All three entered March Madness as AP Top 3 teams with near-perfect records—Duke and Arizona at 32-2, Michigan 31-3—and have advanced via convincing victories, showcasing elite efficiency on both ends per KenPom ratings. Illinois (11.6%) lurks as a Big Ten contender with strong recent form, while UConn and Purdue round out viable threats, underscoring the bracket's parity and potential for upsets en route to the Final Four.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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