Ze-Cheng Dou's one-shot lead after 54 holes anchors trader consensus at 29%, but Thorbjorn Olesen, Seong-Hyeon Kim, and Henry Lebioda trail by just 1-2 strokes, compressing odds in a bunched leaderboard at the tight Copperhead Course. Recent developments like Dou's third-round 66 and Olesen's hot putter have fueled momentum shifts, while low amateur scoring from Blades Brown keeps underdogs viable. Valspar's history of final-round drama—averaging 2+ lead changes—and windy conditions amplify volatility, explaining why implied probabilities cluster above 20% for frontrunners despite big names like Fitzpatrick fading. Crowd wisdom prices a shootout finish over pedigree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Sung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 11.3%
David Lipsky 7.3%
Chandler Blanchet 6.3%
$139,979 交易量
$139,979 交易量
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
David Lipsky
7%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Tom Kim
2%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
David Ford
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
21%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Michael Kim
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
8%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
Sung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 11.3%
David Lipsky 7.3%
Chandler Blanchet 6.3%
$139,979 交易量
$139,979 交易量
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
David Lipsky
7%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Tom Kim
2%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
David Ford
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
21%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Michael Kim
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
8%
Max Greyserman
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ze-Cheng Dou's one-shot lead after 54 holes anchors trader consensus at 29%, but Thorbjorn Olesen, Seong-Hyeon Kim, and Henry Lebioda trail by just 1-2 strokes, compressing odds in a bunched leaderboard at the tight Copperhead Course. Recent developments like Dou's third-round 66 and Olesen's hot putter have fueled momentum shifts, while low amateur scoring from Blades Brown keeps underdogs viable. Valspar's history of final-round drama—averaging 2+ lead changes—and windy conditions amplify volatility, explaining why implied probabilities cluster above 20% for frontrunners despite big names like Fitzpatrick fading. Crowd wisdom prices a shootout finish over pedigree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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