António Guterres is completing his second term as United Nations Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal selection process for a successor already underway through joint letters from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents. Multiple candidates have emerged publicly, reflecting standard institutional procedures rather than any accelerated timeline driven by resignation, health concerns, or external pressure. Guterres has continued active diplomatic engagement on issues including climate policy, artificial intelligence governance, and regional conflicts into mid-2026, consistent with serving out the full mandate. Trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability for “No” aligns with the absence of verified developments that would trigger an early departure under UN Charter provisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres is completing his second term as United Nations Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal selection process for a successor already underway through joint letters from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents. Multiple candidates have emerged publicly, reflecting standard institutional procedures rather than any accelerated timeline driven by resignation, health concerns, or external pressure. Guterres has continued active diplomatic engagement on issues including climate policy, artificial intelligence governance, and regional conflicts into mid-2026, consistent with serving out the full mandate. Trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability for “No” aligns with the absence of verified developments that would trigger an early departure under UN Charter provisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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