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3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?

Market icon

3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?

0-10 24%

60+ 18%

10-20 16%

20-30 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,115 交易量

0-10 24%

60+ 18%

10-20 16%

20-30 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,115 交易量

0-10

$10,028 交易量

24%

10-20

$3,066 交易量

16%

20-30

$2,069 交易量

12%

30-40

$2,866 交易量

11%

40-50

$2,360 交易量

11%

50-60

$1,403 交易量

12%

60+

$3,323 交易量

18%

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for March 31, 2026.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data for March 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for March 31, 2026 has been published by April 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to March 31, 2026 for which data is available.

This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for March 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$25,115
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for March 31, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data for March 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for March 31, 2026 has been published by April 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to March 31, 2026 for which data is available. This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for March 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"0-10",概率为 24%,其次是"60+",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?"已产生 $25.1K 的总交易量(自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?"的当前领先者是"0-10",概率为 24%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"60+",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月底通过霍尔木兹海峡的平均船舶数量?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。