Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 28% implied probability thanks to his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted 60-plus goals, secured Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors, and earned another Golden Boot. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona's domestic success and his continued creative output despite his youth, while Ousmane Dembélé's Champions League contributions with PSG keep him close behind. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 World Cup, where standout performances from Kane, Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, or Declan Rice could shift momentum decisively among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
哈里·凯恩 27.9%
拉明·亚马尔 17%
奥斯曼·登贝莱 14.8%
维蒂尼亚 8.7%
$4,149,691 交易量
$4,149,691 交易量
2026-10-31
哈里·凯恩
28%
拉明·亚马尔
17%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
15%
维蒂尼亚
9%
基利安·姆巴佩
9%
迈克尔·奥利塞
8%
德克兰·赖斯
4%
克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多
3%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
3%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
2%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
2%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
2%
佩德里
1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
1%
朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯
1%
德西雷·杜埃
1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
1%
拉菲尼亚
1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
<1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
<1%
科尔·帕尔默
<1%
费德里科·巴尔韦德
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
哈里·凯恩 27.9%
拉明·亚马尔 17%
奥斯曼·登贝莱 14.8%
维蒂尼亚 8.7%
$4,149,691 交易量
$4,149,691 交易量
2026-10-31
哈里·凯恩
$735,393 交易量
28%
拉明·亚马尔
$96,782 交易量
17%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$545,569 交易量
15%
维蒂尼亚
$72,178 交易量
9%
基利安·姆巴佩
$154,739 交易量
9%
迈克尔·奥利塞
$104,030 交易量
8%
德克兰·赖斯
$78,351 交易量
4%
克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多
$75,458 交易量
3%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
$84,949 交易量
3%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
$55,217 交易量
2%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
$36,359 交易量
2%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$481,343 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$277,917 交易量
2%
佩德里
$291,061 交易量
1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
$50,990 交易量
1%
朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯
$43,422 交易量
1%
德西雷·杜埃
$40,536 交易量
1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
$47,233 交易量
1%
拉菲尼亚
$44,807 交易量
1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$267,471 交易量
<1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$330,586 交易量
<1%
科尔·帕尔默
$102,154 交易量
<1%
费德里科·巴尔韦德
$45,692 交易量
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
$87,540 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 28% implied probability thanks to his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted 60-plus goals, secured Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors, and earned another Golden Boot. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona's domestic success and his continued creative output despite his youth, while Ousmane Dembélé's Champions League contributions with PSG keep him close behind. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 World Cup, where standout performances from Kane, Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, or Declan Rice could shift momentum decisively among the top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$4,149,691结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 28% implied probability thanks to his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted 60-plus goals, secured Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors, and earned another Golden Boot. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona's domestic success and his continued creative output despite his youth, while Ousmane Dembélé's Champions League contributions with PSG keep him close behind. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 World Cup, where standout performances from Kane, Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, or Declan Rice could shift momentum decisively among the top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,149,691结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 28% implied probability thanks to his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted 60-plus goals, secured Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors, and earned another Golden Boot. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona's domestic success and his continued creative output despite his youth, while Ousmane Dembélé's Champions League contributions with PSG keep him close behind. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 World Cup, where standout performances from Kane, Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, or Declan Rice could shift momentum decisively among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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