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icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

哈里·凯恩 30.0%

基利安·姆巴佩 13%

拉明·亚马尔 11%

迈克尔·奥利塞 10.9%

Polymarket

$4,226,911 交易量

哈里·凯恩 30.0%

基利安·姆巴佩 13%

拉明·亚马尔 11%

迈克尔·奥利塞 10.9%

Polymarket

$4,226,911 交易量

哈里·凯恩

$742,186 交易量

30%

基利安·姆巴佩

$165,258 交易量

13%

拉明·亚马尔

$97,853 交易量

11%

迈克尔·奥利塞

$105,926 交易量

11%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$549,216 交易量

9%

维蒂尼亚

$76,004 交易量

8%

O

$13,950 交易量

5%

德克兰·赖斯

$79,623 交易量

4%

克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多

$76,829 交易量

3%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$282,947 交易量

3%

佩德里

$292,444 交易量

2%

克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚

$85,460 交易量

1%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$482,264 交易量

1%

劳塔罗·马丁内斯

$52,107 交易量

1%

阿什拉夫·哈基米

$37,732 交易量

1%

布鲁诺·费尔南德斯

$57,165 交易量

1%

路易斯·迪亚斯

$47,911 交易量

1%

德西雷·杜埃

$41,620 交易量

1%

朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯

$46,283 交易量

1%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$268,530 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$334,186 交易量

<1%

科尔·帕尔默

$110,620 交易量

<1%

拉菲尼亚

$45,097 交易量

<1%

费德里科·巴尔韦德

$45,945 交易量

<1%

多米尼克·索博斯洛伊

$89,754 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 30% implied probability due to his record 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted over 60 goals and strong assist numbers while securing Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors. Recent power rankings consistently place him first ahead of the World Cup, reflecting sustained scoring volume and domestic success that outpace peers. Kylian Mbappé, Lamine Yamal, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembélé sit in the next tier at 9-12.5% each, buoyed by standout club output, Champions League contributions, and national-team pedigree that positions them for potential tournament boosts. Vitinha and others trail on the strength of PSG or club consistency. With the World Cup now underway, trader sentiment hinges on early match performances and goal tallies that could reshape the leaderboard before October voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,226,911
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 30% implied probability due to his record 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted over 60 goals and strong assist numbers while securing Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal honors. Recent power rankings consistently place him first ahead of the World Cup, reflecting sustained scoring volume and domestic success that outpace peers. Kylian Mbappé, Lamine Yamal, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembélé sit in the next tier at 9-12.5% each, buoyed by standout club output, Champions League contributions, and national-team pedigree that positions them for potential tournament boosts. Vitinha and others trail on the strength of PSG or club consistency. With the World Cup now underway, trader sentiment hinges on early match performances and goal tallies that could reshape the leaderboard before October voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,226,911
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年金球奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 25 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 30%，其次是"基利安·姆巴佩"，概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 30¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 30%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年金球奖得主"已产生 $4.2 million 的总交易量（自Sep 22, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年金球奖得主"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 25 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年金球奖得主"的当前领先者是"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 30%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 30%。紧随其后的结果是"基利安·姆巴佩"，概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年金球奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。