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icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

哈里·凯恩 28.1%

拉明·亚马尔 17%

奥斯曼·登贝莱 14.8%

维蒂尼亚 8.7%

Polymarket

$4,149,599 交易量

哈里·凯恩 28.1%

拉明·亚马尔 17%

奥斯曼·登贝莱 14.8%

维蒂尼亚 8.7%

Polymarket

$4,149,599 交易量

哈里·凯恩

$735,388 交易量

28%

拉明·亚马尔

$96,782 交易量

17%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$545,557 交易量

15%

维蒂尼亚

$72,178 交易量

9%

基利安·姆巴佩

$154,739 交易量

9%

迈克尔·奥利塞

$104,030 交易量

8%

德克兰·赖斯

$78,351 交易量

4%

克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多

$75,458 交易量

3%

克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚

$84,949 交易量

3%

布鲁诺·费尔南德斯

$55,217 交易量

2%

阿什拉夫·哈基米

$36,359 交易量

2%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$481,343 交易量

2%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$277,917 交易量

2%

佩德里

$291,061 交易量

1%

劳塔罗·马丁内斯

$50,990 交易量

1%

朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯

$43,422 交易量

1%

德西雷·杜埃

$40,536 交易量

1%

路易斯·迪亚斯

$47,233 交易量

1%

拉菲尼亚

$44,807 交易量

1%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$267,471 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$330,477 交易量

<1%

科尔·帕尔默

$102,154 交易量

<1%

费德里科·巴尔韦德

$45,692 交易量

<1%

多米尼克·索博斯洛伊

$87,540 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28.1% implied probability, driven by his prolific 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 60 goals while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup. Lamine Yamal sits at 17% on the strength of his La Liga title-winning form for Barcelona, including elite goal contributions and playmaking before a late hamstring injury, with Spain's World Cup campaign offering upside. Ousmane Dembélé at 14.8% reflects strong PSG or club output and France's tournament potential, while Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and Michael Olise trail on consistent midfield or attacking contributions. The wide-open field stems from the ongoing FIFA World Cup, where standout knockout performances could reshape the October voting among a competitive group of forwards and midfielders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,149,599
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28.1% implied probability, driven by his prolific 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 60 goals while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup. Lamine Yamal sits at 17% on the strength of his La Liga title-winning form for Barcelona, including elite goal contributions and playmaking before a late hamstring injury, with Spain's World Cup campaign offering upside. Ousmane Dembélé at 14.8% reflects strong PSG or club output and France's tournament potential, while Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and Michael Olise trail on consistent midfield or attacking contributions. The wide-open field stems from the ongoing FIFA World Cup, where standout knockout performances could reshape the October voting among a competitive group of forwards and midfielders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,149,599
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年金球奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 28%，其次是"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年金球奖得主"已产生 $4.1 million 的总交易量（自Sep 22, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年金球奖得主"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年金球奖得主"的当前领先者是"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年金球奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。