Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于维持不变 82%
降息 16%
加息 <1%
$50,783 交易量
$50,783 交易量
2026-05-07
降息
16%
维持不变
82%
加息
1%
维持不变 82%
降息 16%
加息 <1%
$50,783 交易量
$50,783 交易量
2026-05-07
降息
$16,460 交易量
16%
维持不变
$14,886 交易量
82%
加息
$19,437 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$50,783结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$50,783结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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