The Barstool After Dark crew's high-stakes bowling challenge—12 employees rotating for 12 consecutive strikes to claim a perfect 300 game, locked in overnight with no repeats until success—holds trader consensus at even 50% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the sport's brutal rarity (roughly 1-in-11,500 odds per solo attempt) offset by unlimited team trials in a low-pressure, endurance format. Announced just yesterday by host Ohio's Tate, the fresh setup lacks confirmed participant averages or prior hot streaks, creating competitive parity amid streaming hype and amateur variability. Early momentum from decent bowlers like potential ringers could surge Yes odds, while mounting fatigue, gutter balls, or open frames might tilt toward No as the night drags on.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Any deviation from the rules of the competition listed by Barstool in the official announcement quoted below will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. The rules for the competition are as follows:
"- It’s a bowling scramble just like a golf scramble. We all get to throw the 1st frame. As long as one of the 12 gets a strike, we take that persons score and move on to frame 2
- However then that person whose score we took is now OUT for the rest of the round
- So on frame 2, we have 11 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 3
- And then on frame 3, we have 10 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 4
- And so on and so on and so on until we’re starting on frame 9 with 4 people left needing a strike
- Then frame 10 with 3 people who need a strike, and then the 2nd ball of frame 10 with 2 people, then on the 3rd ball of frame 10, needing a strike for the 300, we’d have 1 person throwing 1 ball needing a strike"
If any player listed as part of the crew does not show and is replaced, this market will resolve to "50-50".
If the Barstool crew or Barstool Sports announces a pause, break, or delay in the challenge with the intention of pausing/stopping the stream and resuming at a later time, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Barstool After Dark event is cancelled, postponed after April 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the crew completed the challenge within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barstool Sports; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Any deviation from the rules of the competition listed by Barstool in the official announcement quoted below will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. The rules for the competition are as follows:
"- It’s a bowling scramble just like a golf scramble. We all get to throw the 1st frame. As long as one of the 12 gets a strike, we take that persons score and move on to frame 2
- However then that person whose score we took is now OUT for the rest of the round
- So on frame 2, we have 11 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 3
- And then on frame 3, we have 10 people rolling, and as long as one person rolls a strike, we move on to frame 4
- And so on and so on and so on until we’re starting on frame 9 with 4 people left needing a strike
- Then frame 10 with 3 people who need a strike, and then the 2nd ball of frame 10 with 2 people, then on the 3rd ball of frame 10, needing a strike for the 300, we’d have 1 person throwing 1 ball needing a strike"
If any player listed as part of the crew does not show and is replaced, this market will resolve to "50-50".
If the Barstool crew or Barstool Sports announces a pause, break, or delay in the challenge with the intention of pausing/stopping the stream and resuming at a later time, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Barstool After Dark event is cancelled, postponed after April 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the crew completed the challenge within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barstool Sports; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Barstool After Dark crew's high-stakes bowling challenge—12 employees rotating for 12 consecutive strikes to claim a perfect 300 game, locked in overnight with no repeats until success—holds trader consensus at even 50% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the sport's brutal rarity (roughly 1-in-11,500 odds per solo attempt) offset by unlimited team trials in a low-pressure, endurance format. Announced just yesterday by host Ohio's Tate, the fresh setup lacks confirmed participant averages or prior hot streaks, creating competitive parity amid streaming hype and amateur variability. Early momentum from decent bowlers like potential ringers could surge Yes odds, while mounting fatigue, gutter balls, or open frames might tilt toward No as the night drags on.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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