Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 39.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English entry approved by the EBU in February and released amid strong fan buzz at pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. The song's emotional ballad style and Israel's diaspora voting history fuel its lead in televote-specific bookie odds and Eurovisionworld polls. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," UMK 2026 winner unveiled late February, holds second at 14.5% with viral Finnish-language appeal, while Greece's Akylas "Ferto"—Sing for Greece victor and recent OGAE 12-pointer—sits third at 13% on catchy multicultural vibes. With semis looming May 12-14, rehearsals and fan voting previews could shift dynamics rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲电视网2026 ：电视投票获胜者
欧洲电视网2026 ：电视投票获胜者
以色列 40%
芬兰 15%
希腊 13%
罗马尼亚 5.8%
$5,623,037 交易量
$5,623,037 交易量
以色列
40%
芬兰
15%
希腊
13%
罗马尼亚
6%
乌克兰
5%
法国
2%
摩尔多瓦
2%
意大利
2%
瑞典
2%
丹麦
1%
澳大利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
黑山
1%
瑞士
1%
波兰
1%
保加利亚
1%
克罗地亚
1%
德国
1%
马耳他
1%
奥地利
<1%
比利时
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
英国
<1%
捷克
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
挪威
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
以色列 40%
芬兰 15%
希腊 13%
罗马尼亚 5.8%
$5,623,037 交易量
$5,623,037 交易量
以色列
40%
芬兰
15%
希腊
13%
罗马尼亚
6%
乌克兰
5%
法国
2%
摩尔多瓦
2%
意大利
2%
瑞典
2%
丹麦
1%
澳大利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
黑山
1%
瑞士
1%
波兰
1%
保加利亚
1%
克罗地亚
1%
德国
1%
马耳他
1%
奥地利
<1%
比利时
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
英国
<1%
捷克
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
挪威
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 39.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English entry approved by the EBU in February and released amid strong fan buzz at pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. The song's emotional ballad style and Israel's diaspora voting history fuel its lead in televote-specific bookie odds and Eurovisionworld polls. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," UMK 2026 winner unveiled late February, holds second at 14.5% with viral Finnish-language appeal, while Greece's Akylas "Ferto"—Sing for Greece victor and recent OGAE 12-pointer—sits third at 13% on catchy multicultural vibes. With semis looming May 12-14, rehearsals and fan voting previews could shift dynamics rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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