Mercedes' dominant position in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, backed by a 72-point lead over Ferrari after multiple rounds, underpins the 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have secured consistent podiums and race wins through strong adaptation to the season's new power unit regulations and active aerodynamics, with Kimi Antonelli heading the Drivers' standings alongside George Russell's reliable results. Ferrari trails in second at 11.5% amid competitive but less consistent scoring, while McLaren at 1.6% and Red Bull at 0.3% lag further due to development shortfalls. Mid-season momentum and regulatory shifts have widened these gaps, though late-season reliability or upgrades could still influence final outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于梅赛德斯 85%
法拉利 11.5%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 1.6%
红牛车队 <1%
$28,240,246 交易量
$28,240,246 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
85%
法拉利
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
2%
红牛车队
<1%
阿斯顿马丁
<1%
威廉姆斯
<1%
Audi
<1%
凯迪拉克
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
哈斯
<1%
阿尔派
<1%
梅赛德斯 85%
法拉利 11.5%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 1.6%
红牛车队 <1%
$28,240,246 交易量
$28,240,246 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
$1,035,366 交易量
85%
法拉利
$713,566 交易量
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
$1,747,561 交易量
2%
红牛车队
$851,146 交易量
<1%
阿斯顿马丁
$3,222,358 交易量
<1%
威廉姆斯
$3,808,174 交易量
<1%
Audi
$3,245,163 交易量
<1%
凯迪拉克
$3,708,648 交易量
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,242,268 交易量
<1%
哈斯
$3,316,067 交易量
<1%
阿尔派
$3,349,930 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' dominant position in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, backed by a 72-point lead over Ferrari after multiple rounds, underpins the 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have secured consistent podiums and race wins through strong adaptation to the season's new power unit regulations and active aerodynamics, with Kimi Antonelli heading the Drivers' standings alongside George Russell's reliable results. Ferrari trails in second at 11.5% amid competitive but less consistent scoring, while McLaren at 1.6% and Red Bull at 0.3% lag further due to development shortfalls. Mid-season momentum and regulatory shifts have widened these gaps, though late-season reliability or upgrades could still influence final outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$28,240,246结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' dominant position in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, backed by a 72-point lead over Ferrari after multiple rounds, underpins the 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have secured consistent podiums and race wins through strong adaptation to the season's new power unit regulations and active aerodynamics, with Kimi Antonelli heading the Drivers' standings alongside George Russell's reliable results. Ferrari trails in second at 11.5% amid competitive but less consistent scoring, while McLaren at 1.6% and Red Bull at 0.3% lag further due to development shortfalls. Mid-season momentum and regulatory shifts have widened these gaps, though late-season reliability or upgrades could still influence final outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$28,240,246结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' dominant position in the 2026 Constructors' Championship, backed by a 72-point lead over Ferrari after multiple rounds, underpins the 84.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have secured consistent podiums and race wins through strong adaptation to the season's new power unit regulations and active aerodynamics, with Kimi Antonelli heading the Drivers' standings alongside George Russell's reliable results. Ferrari trails in second at 11.5% amid competitive but less consistent scoring, while McLaren at 1.6% and Red Bull at 0.3% lag further due to development shortfalls. Mid-season momentum and regulatory shifts have widened these gaps, though late-season reliability or upgrades could still influence final outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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