France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner on trader consensus, bolstered by their world-class talent including Kylian Mbappé, Didier Deschamps' tactical preparations targeting Senegal's counters, and a proven knockout pedigree despite Hugo Ekitike's recent Achilles injury ruling him out. Norway's 24.5% reflects Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and vertical attacking threat under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them as the primary challenger in this group of death after a strong UEFA qualifying campaign and first World Cup since 1998. Senegal trails at 5.5% amid set-piece defensive drills in camp, leveraging African consistency but facing European firepower; Iraq's playoff qualification via Path 2 has locked in the underdog at negligible odds, with their young squad emphasizing transitions. Recent U.S.-based camps highlight peak fitness across teams ahead of June 16 kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 71%
挪威 25%
塞内加尔 6%
玻/伊/苏 <1%
$108,121 交易量
$108,121 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
71%
挪威
25%
塞内加尔
6%
玻/伊/苏
<1%
法国 71%
挪威 25%
塞内加尔 6%
玻/伊/苏 <1%
$108,121 交易量
$108,121 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
$42,193 交易量
71%
挪威
$11,373 交易量
25%
塞内加尔
$13,099 交易量
6%
玻/伊/苏
$41,456 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner on trader consensus, bolstered by their world-class talent including Kylian Mbappé, Didier Deschamps' tactical preparations targeting Senegal's counters, and a proven knockout pedigree despite Hugo Ekitike's recent Achilles injury ruling him out. Norway's 24.5% reflects Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and vertical attacking threat under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them as the primary challenger in this group of death after a strong UEFA qualifying campaign and first World Cup since 1998. Senegal trails at 5.5% amid set-piece defensive drills in camp, leveraging African consistency but facing European firepower; Iraq's playoff qualification via Path 2 has locked in the underdog at negligible odds, with their young squad emphasizing transitions. Recent U.S.-based camps highlight peak fitness across teams ahead of June 16 kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$108,121结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner on trader consensus, bolstered by their world-class talent including Kylian Mbappé, Didier Deschamps' tactical preparations targeting Senegal's counters, and a proven knockout pedigree despite Hugo Ekitike's recent Achilles injury ruling him out. Norway's 24.5% reflects Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and vertical attacking threat under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them as the primary challenger in this group of death after a strong UEFA qualifying campaign and first World Cup since 1998. Senegal trails at 5.5% amid set-piece defensive drills in camp, leveraging African consistency but facing European firepower; Iraq's playoff qualification via Path 2 has locked in the underdog at negligible odds, with their young squad emphasizing transitions. Recent U.S.-based camps highlight peak fitness across teams ahead of June 16 kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,121结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner on trader consensus, bolstered by their world-class talent including Kylian Mbappé, Didier Deschamps' tactical preparations targeting Senegal's counters, and a proven knockout pedigree despite Hugo Ekitike's recent Achilles injury ruling him out. Norway's 24.5% reflects Erling Haaland's full-contact training return and vertical attacking threat under Ståle Solbakken, positioning them as the primary challenger in this group of death after a strong UEFA qualifying campaign and first World Cup since 1998. Senegal trails at 5.5% amid set-piece defensive drills in camp, leveraging African consistency but facing European firepower; Iraq's playoff qualification via Path 2 has locked in the underdog at negligible odds, with their young squad emphasizing transitions. Recent U.S.-based camps highlight peak fitness across teams ahead of June 16 kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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