Trader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于实时
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In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ETIn the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ETTrader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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