The closely matched market-implied probabilities across GOOGL closing-price bins for the week of July 20 reflect substantial uncertainty ahead of Alphabet’s Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 22 after the close. Traders are weighing consensus expectations for roughly 21% revenue growth and 63% Google Cloud expansion against recent reports of Gemini 3.5 Pro delays and mixed analyst revisions. With the stock recently trading near $350–357, outcomes hinge on cloud momentum, TPU sales traction versus Nvidia competition, capital-expenditure guidance, and any forward commentary on AI monetization. Post-earnings volatility and broader tech-sector risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and macroeconomic data releases could determine the final weekly close within this contested range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$325 28%
>$370 25%
$365-$370 11%
$335-$340 9%
<$325
28%
$325-$330
8%
$330-$335
8%
$335-$340
9%
$340-$345
9%
$345-$350
9%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
8%
$365-$370
11%
>$370
25%
<$325 28%
>$370 25%
$365-$370 11%
$335-$340 9%
<$325
28%
$325-$330
8%
$330-$335
8%
$335-$340
9%
$340-$345
9%
$345-$350
9%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
8%
$365-$370
11%
>$370
25%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Jul 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.
The closely matched market-implied probabilities across GOOGL closing-price bins for the week of July 20 reflect substantial uncertainty ahead of Alphabet’s Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 22 after the close. Traders are weighing consensus expectations for roughly 21% revenue growth and 63% Google Cloud expansion against recent reports of Gemini 3.5 Pro delays and mixed analyst revisions. With the stock recently trading near $350–357, outcomes hinge on cloud momentum, TPU sales traction versus Nvidia competition, capital-expenditure guidance, and any forward commentary on AI monetization. Post-earnings volatility and broader tech-sector risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and macroeconomic data releases could determine the final weekly close within this contested range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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