Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 交易量
$99,745 交易量
2026-05-08
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 交易量
$99,745 交易量
2026-05-08
71°F or below
$16,190 交易量
No
72-73°F
$7,550 交易量
No
74-75°F
$10,157 交易量
No
76-77°F
$6,092 交易量
No
78-79°F
$13,285 交易量
No
80-81°F
$7,362 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$8,719 交易量
No
84-85°F
$7,154 交易量
No
86-87°F
$8,634 交易量
No
88-89°F
$7,559 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$7,042 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
交易量
$99,745结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$99,745结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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