Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport, the authoritative station for this market resolution per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidelines, confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on April 22, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Morning forecasts from CMA and global models like ECMWF projected highs near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light north-to-south winds, but intraday measurements peaked one degree lower due to increased cloud cover and subdued solar heating typical of Beijing's spring variability. Historical April averages hover around 20°C, aligning with this mild outcome. Resolution is near-certain barring rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月22日北京气温最高?
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$206,455 交易量
$206,455 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$206,455 交易量
$206,455 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport, the authoritative station for this market resolution per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidelines, confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on April 22, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Morning forecasts from CMA and global models like ECMWF projected highs near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light north-to-south winds, but intraday measurements peaked one degree lower due to increased cloud cover and subdued solar heating typical of Beijing's spring variability. Historical April averages hover around 20°C, aligning with this mild outcome. Resolution is near-certain barring rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题