National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 交易量
$144,794 交易量
25°F or below
No
26-27°F
No
28-29°F
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44°F or higher
Yes
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 交易量
$144,794 交易量
25°F or below
No
26-27°F
No
28-29°F
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题