Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 交易量
$17,579 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 交易量
$17,579 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
$1,546 交易量
No
28°C
$1,248 交易量
No
29°C
$1,233 交易量
No
30°C
$1,165 交易量
No
31°C
$1,076 交易量
No
32°C
$1,081 交易量
No
33°C
$1,169 交易量
No
34°C
$2,141 交易量
No
35°C
$1,973 交易量
No
36°C
$2,689 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$2,258 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$17,579结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,579结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题