Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月3日勒克瑙的最高温度?
41°C或以下 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44℃ <1%
$14,368 交易量
$14,368 交易量
41°C或以下
是
42°C
否
43°C
否
44℃
否
45°C
否
46°C
否
47°C
否
48°C
否
49°C
否
50°C
否
51°C或更高
否
41°C或以下 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44℃ <1%
$14,368 交易量
$14,368 交易量
41°C或以下
是
42°C
否
43°C
否
44℃
否
45°C
否
46°C
否
47°C
否
48°C
否
49°C
否
50°C
否
51°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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