India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 5?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$84,767 交易量
$84,767 交易量
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$84,767 交易量
$84,767 交易量
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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