Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 4?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,720 交易量
$80,720 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,720 交易量
$80,720 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent observational data from Munich weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on June 4, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that exact outcome. This aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which incorporated stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly flow limiting further warming beyond late-spring climatological averages around 22°C. Traders' consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty given the day's completion. Minor revisions to official records or station-specific readings represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this location and date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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