Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 交易量
$119,651 交易量
2026-05-26
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 交易量
$119,651 交易量
2026-05-26
65°F or below
$3,072 交易量
No
66-67°F
$2,217 交易量
No
68-69°F
$2,445 交易量
No
70-71°F
$6,107 交易量
No
72-73°F
$3,789 交易量
No
74-75°F
$23,101 交易量
No
76-77°F
$6,701 交易量
No
78-79°F
$24,950 交易量
No
80-81°F
$15,771 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$15,392 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$16,105 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$119,651结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$119,651结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题