Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 交易量
$61,109 交易量
2026-05-09
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 交易量
$61,109 交易量
2026-05-09
47°F or below
$4,926 交易量
No
48-49°F
$2,026 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,502 交易量
No
52-53°F
$1,099 交易量
No
54-55°F
$1,540 交易量
No
56-57°F
$3,013 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,744 交易量
No
60-61°F
$4,572 交易量
No
62-63°F
$3,929 交易量
No
64-65°F
$25,874 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$9,885 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$61,109结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,109结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题