**Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, weeks after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28.** The constitutional process installed a temporary three-member council (including reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i) before the Assembly’s decision, amid wartime disruptions and threats against potential successors. Mojtaba, 56, has issued statements via Telegram but has remained largely unseen in public since taking office, missing key events such as his father’s funeral amid reports of injuries and health concerns. Iranian state media and officials have emphasized continuity and unity under the new leader while navigating ongoing conflict, sanctions, economic strain, and IRGC influence in decision-making. Recent reports of Mojtaba’s deteriorating health have renewed speculation about further transitions, with the Assembly of Experts holding formal authority over any future selection under Article 111 of the constitution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,757,783 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
3%
10月31日
6%
11月30日
9%
12月31日
15%
2027年6月30日
25%
$24,757,783 交易量
9月30日
$735,295 交易量
3%
10月31日
$69,428 交易量
6%
11月30日
$34,750 交易量
9%
12月31日
$4,370,784 交易量
15%
2027年6月30日
$260,390 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, weeks after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28.** The constitutional process installed a temporary three-member council (including reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i) before the Assembly’s decision, amid wartime disruptions and threats against potential successors. Mojtaba, 56, has issued statements via Telegram but has remained largely unseen in public since taking office, missing key events such as his father’s funeral amid reports of injuries and health concerns. Iranian state media and officials have emphasized continuity and unity under the new leader while navigating ongoing conflict, sanctions, economic strain, and IRGC influence in decision-making. Recent reports of Mojtaba’s deteriorating health have renewed speculation about further transitions, with the Assembly of Experts holding formal authority over any future selection under Article 111 of the constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
交易量
$24,757,783结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, weeks after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28.** The constitutional process installed a temporary three-member council (including reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i) before the Assembly’s decision, amid wartime disruptions and threats against potential successors. Mojtaba, 56, has issued statements via Telegram but has remained largely unseen in public since taking office, missing key events such as his father’s funeral amid reports of injuries and health concerns. Iranian state media and officials have emphasized continuity and unity under the new leader while navigating ongoing conflict, sanctions, economic strain, and IRGC influence in decision-making. Recent reports of Mojtaba’s deteriorating health have renewed speculation about further transitions, with the Assembly of Experts holding formal authority over any future selection under Article 111 of the constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$24,757,783结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET**Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, weeks after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28.** The constitutional process installed a temporary three-member council (including reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i) before the Assembly’s decision, amid wartime disruptions and threats against potential successors. Mojtaba, 56, has issued statements via Telegram but has remained largely unseen in public since taking office, missing key events such as his father’s funeral amid reports of injuries and health concerns. Iranian state media and officials have emphasized continuity and unity under the new leader while navigating ongoing conflict, sanctions, economic strain, and IRGC influence in decision-making. Recent reports of Mojtaba’s deteriorating health have renewed speculation about further transitions, with the Assembly of Experts holding formal authority over any future selection under Article 111 of the constitution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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