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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?

$6,699,498 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$6,699,498 交易量

Polymarket

8月31日

$418,318 交易量

4%

9月30日

$268,896 交易量

11%

12月31日

$425,905 交易量

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in US-Israeli strikes that also targeted family members and the Assembly of Experts. Since appointment he has issued statements and formal decrees, including recent military commander reshuffles, yet state media and officials confirm no verified public appearances, speeches, video, or audio releases. Reports cite ongoing security risks from the active conflict and possible injuries sustained in the initial attack, with private meetings such as the president's documented session serving as the primary evidence of his operational involvement. This extended absence has shaped trader assessments around the timeline for any visible public engagement amid wartime conditions and succession consolidation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$6,699,498
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership role in March 2026 after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in US-Israeli strikes that also targeted family members and the Assembly of Experts. Since appointment he has issued statements and formal decrees, including recent military commander reshuffles, yet state media and officials confirm no verified public appearances, speeches, video, or audio releases. Reports cite ongoing security risks from the active conflict and possible injuries sustained in the initial attack, with private meetings such as the president's documented session serving as the primary evidence of his operational involvement. This extended absence has shaped trader assessments around the timeline for any visible public engagement amid wartime conditions and succession consolidation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$6,699,498
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 26%,其次是"9月30日",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 26¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 26%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"已产生 $6.7 million 的总交易量(自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 26%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 26%。紧随其后的结果是"9月30日",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Mojtaba Khamenei公开露面... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。