Ongoing ceasefire violations since October 2025, including Israeli airstrikes that have pushed Gaza's death toll above 73,000, continue to shape trader assessments of foreign intervention prospects. UN Security Council Resolution 2803 authorized an International Stabilization Force under the Board of Peace to support demilitarization and transitional governance, yet deployment remains stalled amid uncertainty over mandate, troop contributors, and U.S. non-participation on the ground. Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement and Hamas statements welcoming regional stability efforts have introduced new variables, while Israeli territorial expansions and aid restrictions highlight enforcement challenges. Potential catalysts include progress on phase-two implementation, additional Security Council actions, or shifts in participation from interested states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$649,542 交易量

6月30日
4%
$649,542 交易量

6月30日
4%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing ceasefire violations since October 2025, including Israeli airstrikes that have pushed Gaza's death toll above 73,000, continue to shape trader assessments of foreign intervention prospects. UN Security Council Resolution 2803 authorized an International Stabilization Force under the Board of Peace to support demilitarization and transitional governance, yet deployment remains stalled amid uncertainty over mandate, troop contributors, and U.S. non-participation on the ground. Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement and Hamas statements welcoming regional stability efforts have introduced new variables, while Israeli territorial expansions and aid restrictions highlight enforcement challenges. Potential catalysts include progress on phase-two implementation, additional Security Council actions, or shifts in participation from interested states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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