Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutional term extending to 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting limits for potential service until 2036—and his 2024 re-election victory capturing 88% of votes. Recent activity, including chairing a government videoconference on April 23 and meeting Kyrgyzstan's president, alongside the Kremlin's April 17 dismissal of health rumors, signals robust leadership continuity amid the Ukraine war, which sustains elite cohesion despite economic strains like the January VAT increase to 22%. No verified opposition surges, coups, or succession moves have emerged in the past 30 days, though unforeseen health events or military reversals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutional term extending to 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting limits for potential service until 2036—and his 2024 re-election victory capturing 88% of votes. Recent activity, including chairing a government videoconference on April 23 and meeting Kyrgyzstan's president, alongside the Kremlin's April 17 dismissal of health rumors, signals robust leadership continuity amid the Ukraine war, which sustains elite cohesion despite economic strains like the January VAT increase to 22%. No verified opposition surges, coups, or succession moves have emerged in the past 30 days, though unforeseen health events or military reversals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题