Trader consensus reflects Vladimir Putin's firm grip on power midway through his presidential term ending in 2030, bolstered by constitutional amendments enabling potential runs until 2036 and tight control over Russia's political institutions, security apparatus, and media. Recent health rumors, including unverified claims of illness from coughing incidents in March 2026 and a brief disappearance in February, have circulated without Kremlin confirmation or evidence of incapacity, failing to shift odds meaningfully. In late April 2026, Putin highlighted the "strength and stability" of Russia's political system to lawmakers amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and economic strains, underscoring elite loyalty and suppressed opposition. While scenarios like a sudden health crisis, internal coup, or elite defection could alter outcomes, traders price these as low-probability barriers before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects Vladimir Putin's firm grip on power midway through his presidential term ending in 2030, bolstered by constitutional amendments enabling potential runs until 2036 and tight control over Russia's political institutions, security apparatus, and media. Recent health rumors, including unverified claims of illness from coughing incidents in March 2026 and a brief disappearance in February, have circulated without Kremlin confirmation or evidence of incapacity, failing to shift odds meaningfully. In late April 2026, Putin highlighted the "strength and stability" of Russia's political system to lawmakers amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and economic strains, underscoring elite loyalty and suppressed opposition. While scenarios like a sudden health crisis, internal coup, or elite defection could alter outcomes, traders price these as low-probability barriers before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题