Russia's sustained military engagement in Ukraine through mid-2026, marked by recent missile and drone exchanges targeting cities and infrastructure, continues to anchor trader views that no additional invasion will occur this year. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and other sites further illustrate resource strain without signs of force redirection toward new borders. Official statements and diplomatic postures remain centered on the existing conflict rather than expansion, with no verified troop movements or declarations pointing to other targets. This context aligns with the 91.5% implied probability traders assign to "No," reflecting the war's demands and absence of triggering developments in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$373,500 交易量
$373,500 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$373,500 交易量
$373,500 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's sustained military engagement in Ukraine through mid-2026, marked by recent missile and drone exchanges targeting cities and infrastructure, continues to anchor trader views that no additional invasion will occur this year. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and other sites further illustrate resource strain without signs of force redirection toward new borders. Official statements and diplomatic postures remain centered on the existing conflict rather than expansion, with no verified troop movements or declarations pointing to other targets. This context aligns with the 91.5% implied probability traders assign to "No," reflecting the war's demands and absence of triggering developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$373,500结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's sustained military engagement in Ukraine through mid-2026, marked by recent missile and drone exchanges targeting cities and infrastructure, continues to anchor trader views that no additional invasion will occur this year. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and other sites further illustrate resource strain without signs of force redirection toward new borders. Official statements and diplomatic postures remain centered on the existing conflict rather than expansion, with no verified troop movements or declarations pointing to other targets. This context aligns with the 91.5% implied probability traders assign to "No," reflecting the war's demands and absence of triggering developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$373,500结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's sustained military engagement in Ukraine through mid-2026, marked by recent missile and drone exchanges targeting cities and infrastructure, continues to anchor trader views that no additional invasion will occur this year. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and other sites further illustrate resource strain without signs of force redirection toward new borders. Official statements and diplomatic postures remain centered on the existing conflict rather than expansion, with no verified troop movements or declarations pointing to other targets. This context aligns with the 91.5% implied probability traders assign to "No," reflecting the war's demands and absence of triggering developments in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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