Ukraine’s recent territorial gains and successful counteroffensives have shifted momentum in the ongoing conflict, mirroring a team building defensive form while limiting opponent advances to minimal daily gains. Russia’s exaggerated claims of progress contrast with slowed offensive output and mounting logistical strain, akin to a squad facing fatigue and reduced scoring efficiency in a grueling series. Maximalist demands for Ukrainian neutrality and territorial concessions remain unmet, blocking the full set of conditions needed for resolution by year-end, much like a matchup where neither side has secured the required lead or concessions. This entrenched dynamic underpins trader consensus around the low probability of the complete peace combination materializing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$620,282 交易量
$620,282 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$620,282 交易量
$620,282 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfUkraine’s recent territorial gains and successful counteroffensives have shifted momentum in the ongoing conflict, mirroring a team building defensive form while limiting opponent advances to minimal daily gains. Russia’s exaggerated claims of progress contrast with slowed offensive output and mounting logistical strain, akin to a squad facing fatigue and reduced scoring efficiency in a grueling series. Maximalist demands for Ukrainian neutrality and territorial concessions remain unmet, blocking the full set of conditions needed for resolution by year-end, much like a matchup where neither side has secured the required lead or concessions. This entrenched dynamic underpins trader consensus around the low probability of the complete peace combination materializing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
市场开放时间： Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
交易量
$620,282结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfUkraine’s recent territorial gains and successful counteroffensives have shifted momentum in the ongoing conflict, mirroring a team building defensive form while limiting opponent advances to minimal daily gains. Russia’s exaggerated claims of progress contrast with slowed offensive output and mounting logistical strain, akin to a squad facing fatigue and reduced scoring efficiency in a grueling series. Maximalist demands for Ukrainian neutrality and territorial concessions remain unmet, blocking the full set of conditions needed for resolution by year-end, much like a matchup where neither side has secured the required lead or concessions. This entrenched dynamic underpins trader consensus around the low probability of the complete peace combination materializing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$620,282结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETUkraine’s recent territorial gains and successful counteroffensives have shifted momentum in the ongoing conflict, mirroring a team building defensive form while limiting opponent advances to minimal daily gains. Russia’s exaggerated claims of progress contrast with slowed offensive output and mounting logistical strain, akin to a squad facing fatigue and reduced scoring efficiency in a grueling series. Maximalist demands for Ukrainian neutrality and territorial concessions remain unmet, blocking the full set of conditions needed for resolution by year-end, much like a matchup where neither side has secured the required lead or concessions. This entrenched dynamic underpins trader consensus around the low probability of the complete peace combination materializing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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