Ongoing diplomatic efforts tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict have produced no bilateral Trump-Putin summit in 2026 despite multiple phone calls and a secret CIA visit to Moscow in late August proposing trilateral talks with Zelenskyy. The absence of scheduled in-person negotiations or confirmed venues this year underpins the leading trader consensus on no meeting by year-end. Separate visits by both leaders to Beijing earlier in 2026 sustain China as the strongest alternative location, reflecting its role as a neutral diplomatic hub amid stalled progress elsewhere. Low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with historical precedent of limited follow-up after the 2025 Alaska summit and persistent barriers to hosting arrangements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?
截至12月31日不见面 52%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus 2.1%
$777,235 交易量
$777,235 交易量

截至12月31日不见面
52%

China
41%

Russia
4%

Belarus
2%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
截至12月31日不见面 52%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus 2.1%
$777,235 交易量
$777,235 交易量

截至12月31日不见面
52%

China
41%

Russia
4%

Belarus
2%

Turkey
1%

United States
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing diplomatic efforts tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict have produced no bilateral Trump-Putin summit in 2026 despite multiple phone calls and a secret CIA visit to Moscow in late August proposing trilateral talks with Zelenskyy. The absence of scheduled in-person negotiations or confirmed venues this year underpins the leading trader consensus on no meeting by year-end. Separate visits by both leaders to Beijing earlier in 2026 sustain China as the strongest alternative location, reflecting its role as a neutral diplomatic hub amid stalled progress elsewhere. Low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with historical precedent of limited follow-up after the 2025 Alaska summit and persistent barriers to hosting arrangements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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