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icon for 2028年共和党总统候选人

2028年共和党总统候选人

icon for 2028年共和党总统候选人

2028年共和党总统候选人

J.D. Vance 51.2%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 16.9%

塔克·卡尔森 3.6%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,781,607 交易量

J.D. Vance 51.2%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 16.9%

塔克·卡尔森 3.6%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,781,607 交易量

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,627,317 交易量

51%

icon for 分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥

$10,603,662 交易量

17%

icon for 塔克·卡尔森

塔克·卡尔森

$13,777,953 交易量

4%

icon for 罗恩·德桑蒂斯

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$15,509,284 交易量

2%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普

唐纳德·特朗普

$9,544,301 交易量

2%

icon for 泰德·克鲁茨

泰德·克鲁茨

$19,356,619 交易量

2%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.

唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.

$9,651,788 交易量

2%

icon for 伊万卡·特朗普

伊万卡·特朗普

$8,559,624 交易量

1%

icon for 托马斯·马西

托马斯·马西

$6,102,911 交易量

1%

icon for 皮特·赫格塞斯

皮特·赫格塞斯

$9,353,296 交易量

1%

icon for 格伦·扬金

格伦·扬金

$8,717,060 交易量

<1%

icon for 塔尔西·加巴德尔

塔尔西·加巴德尔

$13,951,799 交易量

<1%

icon for 布赖恩·肯普

布赖恩·肯普

$17,935,883 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔什·霍利

乔什·霍利

$20,266,367 交易量

<1%

icon for 玛乔里·泰勒·格林

玛乔里·泰勒·格林

$6,764,592 交易量

<1%

icon for 维克·拉马斯瓦米

维克·拉马斯瓦米

$16,107,311 交易量

<1%

icon for 罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世

罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世

$16,828,321 交易量

<1%

icon for 拜伦·唐纳斯

拜伦·唐纳斯

$44,417,853 交易量

<1%

icon for 凯蒂·布里特

凯蒂·布里特

$28,949,920 交易量

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,539,789 交易量

<1%

icon for 斯蒂夫·班农

斯蒂夫·班农

$22,921,887 交易量

<1%

icon for 坎迪斯·欧文斯

坎迪斯·欧文斯

$661,093 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃里克·特朗普

埃里克·特朗普

$10,571,757 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:妮基·黑利

分组项标题:妮基·黑利

$10,383,636 交易量

<1%

icon for 格雷格·艾博特

格雷格·艾博特

$20,713,245 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:Elise Stefanik

分组项标题:Elise Stefanik

$27,988,964 交易量

<1%

icon for 克里斯蒂·诺姆

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$37,623,910 交易量

<1%

icon for 迈克·彭斯

迈克·彭斯

$43,689,219 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:汤姆·布雷迪

分组项标题:汤姆·布雷迪

$32,957,752 交易量

<1%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$28,562,730 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔·肯特

乔·肯特

$8,927,486 交易量

<1%

icon for 汤姆·科顿

汤姆·科顿

$1,571,288 交易量

<1%

icon for 约翰·N·肯尼迪

约翰·N·肯尼迪

$433,771 交易量

<1%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$34,430,312 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:埃隆·马斯克

分组项标题:埃隆·马斯克

$30,418,527 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:马特·盖茨

分组项标题:马特·盖茨

$20,390,110 交易量

<1%

icon for 约翰·桑恩

约翰·桑恩

$38,164,800 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃里卡·柯克

埃里卡·柯克

$18,944,699 交易量

<1%

icon for 蒂姆·斯科特

蒂姆·斯科特

$523,415 交易量

<1%

icon for 迈克·约翰逊

迈克·约翰逊

$865,175 交易量

<1%

icon for 道格·伯古姆

道格·伯古姆

$721,544 交易量

<1%

icon for 里克·斯科特

里克·斯科特

$750,637 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remain locked in a tight contest for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with traders assigning each roughly even odds near 50 percent. Vance draws support from his role as the sitting vice president and alignment with the Trump-aligned base, while Kennedy's positioning reflects his influence in health policy circles and the Make America Healthy Again movement. Marco Rubio trails as a secondary option amid his cabinet role. The early stage of the cycle, combined with limited polling and two-plus years until primaries, sustains high uncertainty and keeps probabilities compressed. Scheduled events such as midterm elections and potential administration announcements could widen gaps by clarifying candidate viability and coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$703,781,607
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remain locked in a tight contest for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with traders assigning each roughly even odds near 50 percent. Vance draws support from his role as the sitting vice president and alignment with the Trump-aligned base, while Kennedy's positioning reflects his influence in health policy circles and the Make America Healthy Again movement. Marco Rubio trails as a secondary option amid his cabinet role. The early stage of the cycle, combined with limited polling and two-plus years until primaries, sustains high uncertainty and keeps probabilities compressed. Scheduled events such as midterm elections and potential administration announcements could widen gaps by clarifying candidate viability and coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$703,781,607
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

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常见问题

"2028年共和党总统候选人"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 42+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"J.D. Vance",概率为 51%,其次是"分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2028年共和党总统候选人"已产生 $703.8 million 的总交易量(自Jul 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2028年共和党总统候选人"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 42+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2028年共和党总统候选人"的当前领先者是"J.D. Vance",概率为 51%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2028年共和党总统候选人"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。