Nathaniel Moran's commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st Congressional District stems from the area's consistent strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin exceeding 74 percent and partisan lean ratings around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince's under $10,000. Prince secured her nomination via a May 2026 runoff victory but faces a general election on November 3, 2026, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. All available indicators, including the district's East Texas composition and historical voting patterns, align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national electoral shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$55,909 交易量
$55,909 交易量
2026-11-02
纳撒尼尔·莫兰（共和党）
95%
尤兰达·普林斯（民主党）
4%
$55,909 交易量
$55,909 交易量
2026-11-02
纳撒尼尔·莫兰（共和党）
$5,321 交易量
95%
尤兰达·普林斯（民主党）
$50,588 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran's commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st Congressional District stems from the area's consistent strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin exceeding 74 percent and partisan lean ratings around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince's under $10,000. Prince secured her nomination via a May 2026 runoff victory but faces a general election on November 3, 2026, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. All available indicators, including the district's East Texas composition and historical voting patterns, align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national electoral shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before votes are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$55,909结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran's commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st Congressional District stems from the area's consistent strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin exceeding 74 percent and partisan lean ratings around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince's under $10,000. Prince secured her nomination via a May 2026 runoff victory but faces a general election on November 3, 2026, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. All available indicators, including the district's East Texas composition and historical voting patterns, align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national electoral shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before votes are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$55,909结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNathaniel Moran's commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st Congressional District stems from the area's consistent strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin exceeding 74 percent and partisan lean ratings around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince's under $10,000. Prince secured her nomination via a May 2026 runoff victory but faces a general election on November 3, 2026, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. All available indicators, including the district's East Texas composition and historical voting patterns, align with trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national electoral shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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