Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward, placing the majority of Salt Lake County—including Salt Lake City—into a compact seat with a strong Democratic lean, as shown by recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore is seeking reelection in the adjacent 2nd district, leaving an open seat where forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring former Representative Ben McAdams and other contenders. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural changes and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage in the revised boundaries, with limited recent developments likely to alter the outlook before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,261 交易量
$27,261 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
87%
共和党
6%
$27,261 交易量
$27,261 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,450 交易量
87%
共和党
$25,811 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward, placing the majority of Salt Lake County—including Salt Lake City—into a compact seat with a strong Democratic lean, as shown by recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore is seeking reelection in the adjacent 2nd district, leaving an open seat where forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring former Representative Ben McAdams and other contenders. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural changes and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage in the revised boundaries, with limited recent developments likely to alter the outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$27,261结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward, placing the majority of Salt Lake County—including Salt Lake City—into a compact seat with a strong Democratic lean, as shown by recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore is seeking reelection in the adjacent 2nd district, leaving an open seat where forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring former Representative Ben McAdams and other contenders. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural changes and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage in the revised boundaries, with limited recent developments likely to alter the outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,261结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward, placing the majority of Salt Lake County—including Salt Lake City—into a compact seat with a strong Democratic lean, as shown by recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore is seeking reelection in the adjacent 2nd district, leaving an open seat where forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring former Representative Ben McAdams and other contenders. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural changes and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage in the revised boundaries, with limited recent developments likely to alter the outlook before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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