Molly Gray's decisive Democratic primary victory on August 11, securing roughly 61% against Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, has anchored trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican incumbent John Rodgers. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed Gray ahead in head-to-head matchups by double digits or narrow margins, reflecting Vermont's consistent Democratic edge in statewide contests and her prior term as lieutenant governor. Rodgers advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, yet faces structural headwinds as the underdog in a state where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed. With the November 3 election still two months away, the market prices reflect this established matchup and limited upside for alternative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
莫莉·格雷(民主党)
90%

约翰·S·罗杰斯(共和党)
10%

莫莉·格雷(民主党)
90%

约翰·S·罗杰斯(共和党)
10%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Molly Gray's decisive Democratic primary victory on August 11, securing roughly 61% against Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, has anchored trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican incumbent John Rodgers. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed Gray ahead in head-to-head matchups by double digits or narrow margins, reflecting Vermont's consistent Democratic edge in statewide contests and her prior term as lieutenant governor. Rodgers advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, yet faces structural headwinds as the underdog in a state where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed. With the November 3 election still two months away, the market prices reflect this established matchup and limited upside for alternative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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