Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race due to the area's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, his strong primary performance, and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district covers southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs where Republican presidential and statewide candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a broader national Democratic wave in the 2026 midterms or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap if turnout shifts markedly among suburban voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,730 交易量
$52,730 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$52,730 交易量
$52,730 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$25,739 交易量
95%
民主党
$26,991 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race due to the area's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, his strong primary performance, and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district covers southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs where Republican presidential and statewide candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a broader national Democratic wave in the 2026 midterms or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap if turnout shifts markedly among suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$52,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race due to the area's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, his strong primary performance, and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district covers southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs where Republican presidential and statewide candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a broader national Democratic wave in the 2026 midterms or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap if turnout shifts markedly among suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRepublican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race due to the area's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, his strong primary performance, and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district covers southern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs where Republican presidential and statewide candidates have posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a broader national Democratic wave in the 2026 midterms or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap if turnout shifts markedly among suburban voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题