The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Jake Ellzey's decisive 66% victory in the March 2026 Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 87.5% implied probability. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Ellzey's prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, reinforces this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Danny Minton, who secured his nomination without opposition. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard turnout and national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,813 交易量
88%
民主党
$4,542 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Jake Ellzey's decisive 66% victory in the March 2026 Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 87.5% implied probability. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Ellzey's prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, reinforces this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Danny Minton, who secured his nomination without opposition. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard turnout and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,355结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Jake Ellzey's decisive 66% victory in the March 2026 Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 87.5% implied probability. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Ellzey's prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, reinforces this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Danny Minton, who secured his nomination without opposition. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard turnout and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,355结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Jake Ellzey's decisive 66% victory in the March 2026 Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 87.5% implied probability. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Ellzey's prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, reinforces this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Danny Minton, who secured his nomination without opposition. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard turnout and national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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