The Republican Party maintains a commanding position in the WI-05 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, encompassing suburban and rural areas north and west of Milwaukee that have delivered double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after securing 64 percent in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages against Democratic nominee Andrew Beck following the August 11 primaries. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited swing potential absent major national shifts. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or extreme midterm wave could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$50,156 交易量
$50,156 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$50,156 交易量
$50,156 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$26,927 交易量
92%
民主党
$23,229 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a commanding position in the WI-05 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, encompassing suburban and rural areas north and west of Milwaukee that have delivered double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after securing 64 percent in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages against Democratic nominee Andrew Beck following the August 11 primaries. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited swing potential absent major national shifts. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or extreme midterm wave could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$50,156结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a commanding position in the WI-05 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, encompassing suburban and rural areas north and west of Milwaukee that have delivered double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after securing 64 percent in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages against Democratic nominee Andrew Beck following the August 11 primaries. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited swing potential absent major national shifts. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or extreme midterm wave could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$50,156结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party maintains a commanding position in the WI-05 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, encompassing suburban and rural areas north and west of Milwaukee that have delivered double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott Fitzgerald, seeking a fourth term after securing 64 percent in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising advantages against Democratic nominee Andrew Beck following the August 11 primaries. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited swing potential absent major national shifts. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or extreme midterm wave could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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