Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, featuring a modest Democratic lean under the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positions the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz's decision to seek reelection after the Republican-led legislature approved updated maps in April and May 2026, upheld by courts for this cycle, anchors the party's advantage alongside May polling that shows Democratic candidates ahead of likely Republican primary contenders by 9-12 points. Race forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its competitive balance and the August 18 primaries still ahead, with trader consensus reflecting the incumbent's name recognition and the district's partisan metrics rather than any decisive shift in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,182 交易量
$18,182 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
55%
共和党
36%
$18,182 交易量
$18,182 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,563 交易量
55%
共和党
$13,619 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, featuring a modest Democratic lean under the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positions the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz's decision to seek reelection after the Republican-led legislature approved updated maps in April and May 2026, upheld by courts for this cycle, anchors the party's advantage alongside May polling that shows Democratic candidates ahead of likely Republican primary contenders by 9-12 points. Race forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its competitive balance and the August 18 primaries still ahead, with trader consensus reflecting the incumbent's name recognition and the district's partisan metrics rather than any decisive shift in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, featuring a modest Democratic lean under the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positions the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz's decision to seek reelection after the Republican-led legislature approved updated maps in April and May 2026, upheld by courts for this cycle, anchors the party's advantage alongside May polling that shows Democratic candidates ahead of likely Republican primary contenders by 9-12 points. Race forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its competitive balance and the August 18 primaries still ahead, with trader consensus reflecting the incumbent's name recognition and the district's partisan metrics rather than any decisive shift in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, featuring a modest Democratic lean under the Cook Partisan Voting Index, positions the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz's decision to seek reelection after the Republican-led legislature approved updated maps in April and May 2026, upheld by courts for this cycle, anchors the party's advantage alongside May polling that shows Democratic candidates ahead of likely Republican primary contenders by 9-12 points. Race forecasters rate the contest a toss-up due to its competitive balance and the August 18 primaries still ahead, with trader consensus reflecting the incumbent's name recognition and the district's partisan metrics rather than any decisive shift in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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