Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle after legislative approval and gubernatorial signing in May, carries a modest Democratic lean according to multiple ratings, elevating the party's general-election prospects over Republican challengers. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 primary against Oliver Larkin, backed by substantial fundraising and internal polling margins exceeding 30 points. On the Republican side, a crowded primary field including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and others fragments resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-breaking developments, with the Democratic edge consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,036 交易量
$19,036 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
61%
共和党
37%
$19,036 交易量
$19,036 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,903 交易量
61%
共和党
$14,134 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle after legislative approval and gubernatorial signing in May, carries a modest Democratic lean according to multiple ratings, elevating the party's general-election prospects over Republican challengers. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 primary against Oliver Larkin, backed by substantial fundraising and internal polling margins exceeding 30 points. On the Republican side, a crowded primary field including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and others fragments resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-breaking developments, with the Democratic edge consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$19,036结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle after legislative approval and gubernatorial signing in May, carries a modest Democratic lean according to multiple ratings, elevating the party's general-election prospects over Republican challengers. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 primary against Oliver Larkin, backed by substantial fundraising and internal polling margins exceeding 30 points. On the Republican side, a crowded primary field including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and others fragments resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-breaking developments, with the Democratic edge consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,036结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle after legislative approval and gubernatorial signing in May, carries a modest Democratic lean according to multiple ratings, elevating the party's general-election prospects over Republican challengers. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 primary against Oliver Larkin, backed by substantial fundraising and internal polling margins exceeding 30 points. On the Republican side, a crowded primary field including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and others fragments resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of major late-breaking developments, with the Democratic edge consistent with the district's updated partisan voting index and historical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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