Recent redistricting, signed into law in early May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month, shifted Florida’s 25th Congressional District into a more competitive configuration that analysts rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic seat. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who relocated from the former 23rd district, holds a significant fundraising edge and leads head-to-head polling against prospective Republican opponents ahead of the August 18 primaries. The Democratic primary features a challenge from Oliver Larkin, while Republicans field multiple candidates including Scott Singer. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 63 percent implied probability, reflecting Moskowitz’s incumbency, early polling margins, and the district’s altered partisan baseline following the map changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,205 交易量
$18,205 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
62%
共和党
36%
$18,205 交易量
$18,205 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,563 交易量
62%
共和党
$13,642 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting, signed into law in early May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month, shifted Florida’s 25th Congressional District into a more competitive configuration that analysts rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic seat. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who relocated from the former 23rd district, holds a significant fundraising edge and leads head-to-head polling against prospective Republican opponents ahead of the August 18 primaries. The Democratic primary features a challenge from Oliver Larkin, while Republicans field multiple candidates including Scott Singer. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 63 percent implied probability, reflecting Moskowitz’s incumbency, early polling margins, and the district’s altered partisan baseline following the map changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting, signed into law in early May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month, shifted Florida’s 25th Congressional District into a more competitive configuration that analysts rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic seat. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who relocated from the former 23rd district, holds a significant fundraising edge and leads head-to-head polling against prospective Republican opponents ahead of the August 18 primaries. The Democratic primary features a challenge from Oliver Larkin, while Republicans field multiple candidates including Scott Singer. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 63 percent implied probability, reflecting Moskowitz’s incumbency, early polling margins, and the district’s altered partisan baseline following the map changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,205结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting, signed into law in early May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month, shifted Florida’s 25th Congressional District into a more competitive configuration that analysts rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic seat. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who relocated from the former 23rd district, holds a significant fundraising edge and leads head-to-head polling against prospective Republican opponents ahead of the August 18 primaries. The Democratic primary features a challenge from Oliver Larkin, while Republicans field multiple candidates including Scott Singer. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 63 percent implied probability, reflecting Moskowitz’s incumbency, early polling margins, and the district’s altered partisan baseline following the map changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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