The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,207 交易量
$18,207 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
72%
共和党
36%
$18,207 交易量
$18,207 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,564 交易量
72%
共和党
$13,642 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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