The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,568 交易量
$22,568 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$22,568 交易量
$22,568 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,548 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,020 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$22,568结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,568结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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