Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its voter composition and past election results, leading to solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and a Democratic primary set for August 18 following the June 12 filing deadline, the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent shifts in local dynamics supports the current trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for a Democratic winner. A major change in the broader national environment or an unusually strong Republican nominee could introduce uncertainty, though historical patterns and current assessments indicate limited pathways for such an outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,739 交易量
$19,739 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$19,739 交易量
$19,739 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its voter composition and past election results, leading to solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and a Democratic primary set for August 18 following the June 12 filing deadline, the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent shifts in local dynamics supports the current trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for a Democratic winner. A major change in the broader national environment or an unusually strong Republican nominee could introduce uncertainty, though historical patterns and current assessments indicate limited pathways for such an outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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