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Gerrymander 预测与赔率

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New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

$63.1K 交易量

$18.7K Liq.

21

Ends 5 个月内

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.6K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

2

Ends 5 个月内

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

96%

North Carolina

$307K 交易量

$241K Liq.

5

Ends 5 个月内

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$253K 交易量

$120K Liq.

2

Ends 5 个月内

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

23%

Democrats 8-10%

$77.9K 交易量

$391K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.8K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends 5 个月内

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

27%

130m+

$7.4K 交易量

$46.0K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K 交易量

$930 Liq.

10

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

60%

$2.3K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5%

$152K 交易量

$74.7K Liq.

9

Ends 5 个月内

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$3.9K 交易量

$32.6K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$8M 交易量

$71.6K today

$857K Liq.

216

Ends 5 个月内

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$11.4K 交易量

$37.4K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

≤47

$3M 交易量

$354K Liq.

7

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$6.5K 交易量

$30.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

68%

$40.8K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$7.8K 交易量

$30.5K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

34%

24–25

$678K 交易量

$37.0K Liq.

4

Ends 5 个月内

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$16.9K 交易量

$17.5K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

77%

Democratic Party

$504 交易量

$76 Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Gerrymander 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 100 个活跃的 Gerrymander 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $12.2M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",市场目前认为 Democrats Sweep 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Gerrymander 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。