Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's long tenure representing Maine's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Primary results have set the general election matchup against Republican nominee Ron Russell, yet forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical margins and voter patterns. Recent polling and the absence of major disruptions since the June primaries reinforce this positioning in the prediction market. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,170 交易量
$44,170 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$44,170 交易量
$44,170 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$29,644 交易量
94%
共和党
$14,526 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's long tenure representing Maine's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Primary results have set the general election matchup against Republican nominee Ron Russell, yet forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical margins and voter patterns. Recent polling and the absence of major disruptions since the June primaries reinforce this positioning in the prediction market. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$44,170结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's long tenure representing Maine's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Primary results have set the general election matchup against Republican nominee Ron Russell, yet forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical margins and voter patterns. Recent polling and the absence of major disruptions since the June primaries reinforce this positioning in the prediction market. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$44,170结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's long tenure representing Maine's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Primary results have set the general election matchup against Republican nominee Ron Russell, yet forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical margins and voter patterns. Recent polling and the absence of major disruptions since the June primaries reinforce this positioning in the prediction market. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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