Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,271 交易量
$37,271 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$37,271 交易量
$37,271 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题