Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$109,848 交易量
$109,848 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
3%
$109,848 交易量
$109,848 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$78,142 交易量
94%
民主党
$31,706 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$109,848结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$109,848结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题