Republican incumbent Trent Kelly, who has represented Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District since 2015, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. He faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, consistent with the area’s long-standing preference for Republican candidates in federal contests. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of competitive indicators. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$108,020 交易量
$108,020 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$108,020 交易量
$108,020 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$77,449 交易量
95%
民主党
$30,570 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Trent Kelly, who has represented Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District since 2015, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. He faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, consistent with the area’s long-standing preference for Republican candidates in federal contests. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of competitive indicators. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$108,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Trent Kelly, who has represented Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District since 2015, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. He faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, consistent with the area’s long-standing preference for Republican candidates in federal contests. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of competitive indicators. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$108,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Trent Kelly, who has represented Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District since 2015, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. He faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in the November 3 general election. The district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Kelly captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, consistent with the area’s long-standing preference for Republican candidates in federal contests. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of competitive indicators. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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