Mississippi's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 to R+20 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent 40-plus point general election margins in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders such as Cliff Johnson face structural barriers in a district last won by their party in 2010. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$109,848 交易量
$109,848 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
3%
$109,848 交易量
$109,848 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$78,142 交易量
94%
民主党
$31,706 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 to R+20 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent 40-plus point general election margins in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders such as Cliff Johnson face structural barriers in a district last won by their party in 2010. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$109,848结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 to R+20 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent 40-plus point general election margins in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders such as Cliff Johnson face structural barriers in a district last won by their party in 2010. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$109,848结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 to R+20 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent 40-plus point general election margins in recent cycles. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders such as Cliff Johnson face structural barriers in a district last won by their party in 2010. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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