Trent Kelly’s commanding position in the MS-01 House race stems from his long incumbency in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying a strong partisan lean. The six-term Republican advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Kelly roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Recent campaign focus has centered on national issues including Trump administration policies and foreign conflicts, yet these have not altered the district’s consistent Republican tilt. A narrow path for Johnson would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$117,613 交易量
$117,613 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
96%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
4%
$117,613 交易量
$117,613 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
$85,374 交易量
96%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
$32,239 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly’s commanding position in the MS-01 House race stems from his long incumbency in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying a strong partisan lean. The six-term Republican advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Kelly roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Recent campaign focus has centered on national issues including Trump administration policies and foreign conflicts, yet these have not altered the district’s consistent Republican tilt. A narrow path for Johnson would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$117,613结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly’s commanding position in the MS-01 House race stems from his long incumbency in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying a strong partisan lean. The six-term Republican advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Kelly roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Recent campaign focus has centered on national issues including Trump administration policies and foreign conflicts, yet these have not altered the district’s consistent Republican tilt. A narrow path for Johnson would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$117,613结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETTrent Kelly’s commanding position in the MS-01 House race stems from his long incumbency in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying a strong partisan lean. The six-term Republican advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered Kelly roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Recent campaign focus has centered on national issues including Trump administration policies and foreign conflicts, yet these have not altered the district’s consistent Republican tilt. A narrow path for Johnson would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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