Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their party primaries. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northeastern Mississippi footprint, Kelly’s 69.8 percent victory in 2024, and the absence of primary opposition on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the lack of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters, though none of these factors have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$108,001 交易量
$108,001 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$108,001 交易量
$108,001 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$77,449 交易量
95%
民主党
$30,552 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their party primaries. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northeastern Mississippi footprint, Kelly’s 69.8 percent victory in 2024, and the absence of primary opposition on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the lack of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters, though none of these factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$108,001结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their party primaries. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northeastern Mississippi footprint, Kelly’s 69.8 percent victory in 2024, and the absence of primary opposition on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the lack of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters, though none of these factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$108,001结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both cleared their party primaries. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northeastern Mississippi footprint, Kelly’s 69.8 percent victory in 2024, and the absence of primary opposition on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the lack of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters, though none of these factors have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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