Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 partisan voting index and consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating a primary challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited general-election competition and the incumbent’s established record. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$108,020 交易量
$108,020 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$108,020 交易量
$108,020 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$77,449 交易量
95%
民主党
$30,570 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 partisan voting index and consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating a primary challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited general-election competition and the incumbent’s established record. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$108,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 partisan voting index and consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating a primary challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited general-election competition and the incumbent’s established record. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$108,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 partisan voting index and consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating a primary challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited general-election competition and the incumbent’s established record. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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