Mississippi's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican advantage, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent victories, including 69.8 percent in the 2024 general election. Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the recent primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a contested Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in presidential contests, underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the 2026 midterms, though such developments remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$108,001 交易量
$108,001 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$108,001 交易量
$108,001 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$77,449 交易量
95%
民主党
$30,552 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican advantage, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent victories, including 69.8 percent in the 2024 general election. Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the recent primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a contested Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in presidential contests, underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the 2026 midterms, though such developments remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$108,001结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican advantage, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent victories, including 69.8 percent in the 2024 general election. Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the recent primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a contested Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in presidential contests, underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the 2026 midterms, though such developments remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$108,001结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican advantage, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Trent Kelly's consistent victories, including 69.8 percent in the 2024 general election. Kelly secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the recent primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a contested Democratic primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in presidential contests, underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the 2026 midterms, though such developments remain uncommon in this solidly Republican territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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