Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential cycles and positioning it as a safe hold for the incumbent party. Tom Emmer, the sitting Republican representative first elected in 2014 and current House majority whip, faces primary challengers in August 2026 but enters the general election with strong name recognition and prior margins exceeding 20 points. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin, remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility or polling traction as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee roughly four-fifths probability of victory while leaving room for broader national shifts closer to November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,433 交易量
$11,433 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
15%
$11,433 交易量
$11,433 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,272 交易量
79%
民主党
$5,161 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential cycles and positioning it as a safe hold for the incumbent party. Tom Emmer, the sitting Republican representative first elected in 2014 and current House majority whip, faces primary challengers in August 2026 but enters the general election with strong name recognition and prior margins exceeding 20 points. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin, remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility or polling traction as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee roughly four-fifths probability of victory while leaving room for broader national shifts closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,433结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential cycles and positioning it as a safe hold for the incumbent party. Tom Emmer, the sitting Republican representative first elected in 2014 and current House majority whip, faces primary challengers in August 2026 but enters the general election with strong name recognition and prior margins exceeding 20 points. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin, remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility or polling traction as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee roughly four-fifths probability of victory while leaving room for broader national shifts closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,433结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential cycles and positioning it as a safe hold for the incumbent party. Tom Emmer, the sitting Republican representative first elected in 2014 and current House majority whip, faces primary challengers in August 2026 but enters the general election with strong name recognition and prior margins exceeding 20 points. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin, remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility or polling traction as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan race raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have classified the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee roughly four-fifths probability of victory while leaving room for broader national shifts closer to November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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