Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,893 交易量
$42,893 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·埃默（共和党）
93%
道格·查平（民主党）
8%
$42,893 交易量
$42,893 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·埃默（共和党）
$23,830 交易量
93%
道格·查平（民主党）
$19,063 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$42,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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