Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota's 6th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle. Early polling from March shows him leading the leading Democratic challenger by 8-10 points among likely voters, consistent with the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Fundraising, name recognition, and structural advantages for the incumbent continue to anchor trader consensus around an 82-cent probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic recruitment momentum and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race from tightening meaningfully since the start of the year. Scheduled primaries in August will clarify the field but are unlikely to alter the overall outlook absent unexpected developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,325 交易量
$32,325 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
$32,325 交易量
$32,325 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$17,627 交易量
83%
民主党
$14,698 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota's 6th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle. Early polling from March shows him leading the leading Democratic challenger by 8-10 points among likely voters, consistent with the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Fundraising, name recognition, and structural advantages for the incumbent continue to anchor trader consensus around an 82-cent probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic recruitment momentum and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race from tightening meaningfully since the start of the year. Scheduled primaries in August will clarify the field but are unlikely to alter the overall outlook absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$32,325结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota's 6th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle. Early polling from March shows him leading the leading Democratic challenger by 8-10 points among likely voters, consistent with the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Fundraising, name recognition, and structural advantages for the incumbent continue to anchor trader consensus around an 82-cent probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic recruitment momentum and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race from tightening meaningfully since the start of the year. Scheduled primaries in August will clarify the field but are unlikely to alter the overall outlook absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,325结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota's 6th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle. Early polling from March shows him leading the leading Democratic challenger by 8-10 points among likely voters, consistent with the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Fundraising, name recognition, and structural advantages for the incumbent continue to anchor trader consensus around an 82-cent probability for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic recruitment momentum and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race from tightening meaningfully since the start of the year. Scheduled primaries in August will clarify the field but are unlikely to alter the overall outlook absent unexpected developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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