The September 23 vote for Morocco’s 395-seat House of Representatives features intense competition among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—for top positions, with RNI holding the largest current bloc after 2021. Recent candidate filings, coalition infighting over poaching and policy, and campaign platforms focused on jobs, purchasing power, and regional development have kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered. Public distrust from prior protests and low historical turnout add uncertainty, while PJD seeks modest recovery. Traders price these three parties as the primary contenders for runner-up status, with outcomes likely hinging on local list performance and final turnout in the coming days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于RNI 44%
PI 23.3%
PAM 20%
PJD 1.9%
$32,501 交易量
$32,501 交易量

RNI
44%

PI
23%

PAM
24%

PJD
15%

UC
1%

USFP
1%

PPS
<1%

MP
<1%
RNI 44%
PI 23.3%
PAM 20%
PJD 1.9%
$32,501 交易量
$32,501 交易量

RNI
44%

PI
23%

PAM
24%

PJD
15%

UC
1%

USFP
1%

PPS
<1%

MP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
The September 23 vote for Morocco’s 395-seat House of Representatives features intense competition among the governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—for top positions, with RNI holding the largest current bloc after 2021. Recent candidate filings, coalition infighting over poaching and policy, and campaign platforms focused on jobs, purchasing power, and regional development have kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered. Public distrust from prior protests and low historical turnout add uncertainty, while PJD seeks modest recovery. Traders price these three parties as the primary contenders for runner-up status, with outcomes likely hinging on local list performance and final turnout in the coming days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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