**The next UK parliamentary by-election is scheduled for 8 October 2026 in Holborn and St Pancras, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP in early September after he stepped down as Prime Minister and Labour leader.** By-elections are formally initiated when the Speaker issues a warrant for a new writ, typically following an MP’s resignation or death, with the motion often moved in the House of Commons by the government or a party whip. Recent precedents include the June 2026 contests in Makerfield (resignation to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy), Aberdeen South and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP MPs moving to the Scottish Parliament), and the August Clacton by-election (Nigel Farage’s resignation amid a standards investigation). Local council by-elections occur regularly but do not affect Westminster timing. The October contest will serve as an early test of Labour’s position under new leadership against Green Party competition, with any further vacancies or procedural delays potentially shifting the schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-31
10月31日
14%
12月31日
21%
$124 交易量
10月31日
$52 交易量
14%
12月31日
$72 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The next UK parliamentary by-election is scheduled for 8 October 2026 in Holborn and St Pancras, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP in early September after he stepped down as Prime Minister and Labour leader.**
By-elections are formally initiated when the Speaker issues a warrant for a new writ, typically following an MP’s resignation or death, with the motion often moved in the House of Commons by the government or a party whip. Recent precedents include the June 2026 contests in Makerfield (resignation to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy), Aberdeen South and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP MPs moving to the Scottish Parliament), and the August Clacton by-election (Nigel Farage’s resignation amid a standards investigation). Local council by-elections occur regularly but do not affect Westminster timing. The October contest will serve as an early test of Labour’s position under new leadership against Green Party competition, with any further vacancies or procedural delays potentially shifting the schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The next UK parliamentary by-election is scheduled for 8 October 2026 in Holborn and St Pancras, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP in early September after he stepped down as Prime Minister and Labour leader.**
By-elections are formally initiated when the Speaker issues a warrant for a new writ, typically following an MP’s resignation or death, with the motion often moved in the House of Commons by the government or a party whip. Recent precedents include the June 2026 contests in Makerfield (resignation to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy), Aberdeen South and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP MPs moving to the Scottish Parliament), and the August Clacton by-election (Nigel Farage’s resignation amid a standards investigation). Local council by-elections occur regularly but do not affect Westminster timing. The October contest will serve as an early test of Labour’s position under new leadership against Green Party competition, with any further vacancies or procedural delays potentially shifting the schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$124结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET**The next UK parliamentary by-election is scheduled for 8 October 2026 in Holborn and St Pancras, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP in early September after he stepped down as Prime Minister and Labour leader.** By-elections are formally initiated when the Speaker issues a warrant for a new writ, typically following an MP’s resignation or death, with the motion often moved in the House of Commons by the government or a party whip. Recent precedents include the June 2026 contests in Makerfield (resignation to enable Andy Burnham’s candidacy), Aberdeen South and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP MPs moving to the Scottish Parliament), and the August Clacton by-election (Nigel Farage’s resignation amid a standards investigation). Local council by-elections occur regularly but do not affect Westminster timing. The October contest will serve as an early test of Labour’s position under new leadership against Green Party competition, with any further vacancies or procedural delays potentially shifting the schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题