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辞职 预测与赔率

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$117K Liq.

93

Ends 2 个月内

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K 交易量

$150K Liq.

26

Ends 8 个月内

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

9%

Before 2027

$3M 交易量

$42.9K Liq.

43

Ends 2 个月内

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

5%

$15.5K 交易量

$20.8K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$119M 交易量

$122K today

$534K Liq.

33

Ends 8 个月内

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

53%

Tulsi Gabbard

$6.0K 交易量

$126K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

26%

7+

$1.7K 交易量

$45.5K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

37%

December 31, 2026

$100K 交易量

$26.5K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

$41.3K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$109K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

54

Ends 2 个月内

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$13M 交易量

$1M today

$5M Liq.

1

Ends 4 天内

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

71%

December 31

$16M 交易量

$469K today

$407K Liq.

622

Ends 4 个月前

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

41%

December 31

$11M 交易量

$311K today

$311K Liq.

1,050

Ends 8 个月内

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

55%

Nicolás Maduro

$85M 交易量

$181K today

$811K Liq.

314

Ends 8 个月内

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

93%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M 交易量

$168K today

$558K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

79%

December 31

$604K 交易量

$108K today

$106K Liq.

61

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

5%

$4M 交易量

$354K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M 交易量

$127K Liq.

705

Ends 8 个月内

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M 交易量

$208K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M 交易量

$115K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 辞职 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 212 个活跃的 辞职 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Macron out by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $272.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 辞职 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。