Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$103,907 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
2%
2026年12月31日
13%
$103,907 交易量
2026年6月30日
$7,501 交易量
2%
2026年12月31日
$3,070 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
交易量
$103,907结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$103,907结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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