Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, have positioned no change in the federal funds rate as the leading outcome for the September FOMC meeting. Elevated CPI prints near 3.8% year-over-year, ongoing price pressures from energy and AI-related spending, and steady employment data have shifted trader consensus toward a data-dependent hold at the current 3.50–3.75% range. Forward guidance and recent FOMC communications reinforce limited scope for easing or tightening without further disinflation or labor-market softening, while the June meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 80%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$159,807 交易量
$159,807 交易量
2026-09-16
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
80%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 80%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$159,807 交易量
$159,807 交易量
2026-09-16
50+ bps decrease
$34,223 交易量
3%
25 bps decrease
$32,066 交易量
3%
No change
$35,620 交易量
80%
25 bps increase
$29,910 交易量
16%
50+ bps increase
$28,124 交易量
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, have positioned no change in the federal funds rate as the leading outcome for the September FOMC meeting. Elevated CPI prints near 3.8% year-over-year, ongoing price pressures from energy and AI-related spending, and steady employment data have shifted trader consensus toward a data-dependent hold at the current 3.50–3.75% range. Forward guidance and recent FOMC communications reinforce limited scope for easing or tightening without further disinflation or labor-market softening, while the June meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$159,807结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, have positioned no change in the federal funds rate as the leading outcome for the September FOMC meeting. Elevated CPI prints near 3.8% year-over-year, ongoing price pressures from energy and AI-related spending, and steady employment data have shifted trader consensus toward a data-dependent hold at the current 3.50–3.75% range. Forward guidance and recent FOMC communications reinforce limited scope for easing or tightening without further disinflation or labor-market softening, while the June meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$159,807结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with a resilient labor market, have positioned no change in the federal funds rate as the leading outcome for the September FOMC meeting. Elevated CPI prints near 3.8% year-over-year, ongoing price pressures from energy and AI-related spending, and steady employment data have shifted trader consensus toward a data-dependent hold at the current 3.50–3.75% range. Forward guidance and recent FOMC communications reinforce limited scope for easing or tightening without further disinflation or labor-market softening, while the June meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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